Using My Bowl Game Rating (MBGR) numbers for each team (see below) , minus the WvS – (Wins vs. Spread) (in order to limit the calculations to strictly team performance) and dividing that number by 4 (due to the redundant Offense and Defense performance numbers) then multiplying the result times each team’s Strength of Schedule (SOS) rating (see chart previously sent) and dividing that product by
a factor of 13 produces a relative number in which the differential is the calculated difference in the ultimate game score.
FYI, the Formula for this is: MBGR – Wvs /4 X SOS /13 = Score RATING. Thus, by subtracting the low rating from the high rating the sum reveals the score differential.
FOR EXAMPLE:
AZ 94 -4= 90/4=22.5 X 34.7 = 780.75 / 13 = 60.0 Winner by 7
Ok St 100 -9=91/4=22.75X 30.1 = 684.775 / 13 = 52.7
TCU
129 -6= 123/4=30.75 X 24.0 = 738/13 = 56.8
Wis
120 -6= 114/4=28.5 X 26.2 = 746.7/13 = 57.4
Winner
by 1
The projected winners are as indicated in the far right column in red.
Due to late breaking news 12/16/10 the Win by X marked in blue beside 4 games are adjustment to projections.
WvS TO PO RO SO FD TD PD RD SD TOM FPG Total
UTEP 5 5 7 6 6 8 4 5 4 7 5 7 69
BYU 7 5 4 8 4 9 9 10 6 9 8 9 88 Win by 15
N IL 9 10 4 12 11 9 10 9 10 11 11 12 118 Win by 3
Fresno
5 5 6 7 8 5
8 9 6 5 2 7
73 Win
by 2
Ohio
U 7 3 2 9 7 3
10 6 11 9 5 8
80 Win
in OT by 3
Troy 4 10 11 6 10 10 3 2 5 3 6 1* 71 Win by 6
(* ranks 120th - worst in FBS)
UofL 6 6 5 10 6 6 11 12 7 11 9 2 91 Win by 3
S. Miss 6 11 9 10 11 11 7 2 11 4 11 2 95
Utah 7 8 9 7 11 6 11 7 12 12 6 9 105
Boise
8 12 12 10 12 12
12 12 12 10 11 7
130 Win
by 12
(20
due to Utah injuries)
Navy 7 9 1 12 9 8 6 6 6 9 10 12 95
San D. St. 6 11 11 6 11 7 8 8 8 8 3 6 93 Win by 5
Tulsa 7 12 12 11 12 12 2 1 9 4 12 12 106
Hawaii
10 12 11 2 12 11
9 7 9 8 12 5
108 Win
by 4
(14
due to Home game)
FL Int. 6 8 6 10 7 6 7 8 6 6 8 1 79
Toledo 7 5 5 7 7 3 6 3 10 5 12 2 72 Win by 1
Geo T 5 9 1 12* 7 8 6 12 5 7 6 4 82 Win by 3
Air
F. 4 10 1 12* 9 10
8 8 3 9 8 11
93 Win
by 1
(*Geo Tech ranks #1 in Rushing Offense in the FBS, Air Force #2)
NC St. 8 9 11 3 10 11 9 5 11 8 9 10 104 Win by 7
W Vir 7 6 6 8 6 7 12 11 12 * 12* 7 11 105
(* West Virginia ranks #2 in Rushing Defense and Scoring Defense)
WvS TO PO RO SO FD TD PD RD SD TOM FPG Total
Mizzou 6 8 8 8 8 9 8 9 7 12 11 6 100 Win by 1
Iowa 5 6 8 5 8 8 11 7 12 12 12 10 104
E. Car 6 10 12 3 11 11 1* 2 1 1 5 2 65
Maryl 7 4 6 3 8 9 8 6 9 9 12 2 83 Win by 19
(* Ranks 120th – Worst in the FBS)
Illini 7 7 1 11 9 8 9 7 10 7 10 6 92
Baylor 5 11 11 10 10 11 3 1 5 4 8 1 80 Win by 1
Ariz 4 10 12 4 8 11 9 8 9 9 7 3 94 Win by 7
OK St. 9 12 12 10 12 12 4 1 9 6 10 3 100
Army 5 4 1 12 7 5 10 10 8 7 12 12 93 Win by 4
SMU 6 9 10 5 6 8 7 6 8 6 3 9 85
K St. 6 6 3 11 10 6 2 7 1 5 9 11 77 Win by 5
Syr 5 2 3 4 3 3 12 12 8 11 5 2 70
NC 7 7 10 3 5 5 9 9 9 8 7 3 82 Win by 8
Tenn 6 5 9 3 7 4 6 4 6 7 9 8 74
Wash 6 5 5 8 3 4 4 9 2 3 7 4 60
Neb 6 9 2 12 10 5 12 12 7 12 8 2 97 Win by 25
S. Fl 4 2 2 6 4 2 10 10 9 11 6 7 73
Clem
5 4 4 5 4 4
10 10 10 12 6 6
80 Win
by 10 Win
by 13
N.D. 6 6 10 3 5 7 8 8 7 10 6 12 88
Miami 4 9 8 10 7 10 11 12 4 10 5 1 91 Win by 5
C. Fl. 9 7 4 10 10 9 11 8 12 11 9 10 110
Georg 4 8 9 5 10 6 10 11 7 8 11 10 99 Win by 21
Fl. St. 6 7 6 8 9 7 8 6 10 10 7 5 89
S.C. 7 8 8 7 9 8 7 2 12 8 9 9 94 Win by 6
NW 2 8 9 6 5 9 3 4 3 6 6 5 66
Tex T 4 11 12 4 9 11 1 1 6 4 6 5 74 Win by 8
Pen St. 5 6 7 5 5 6 8 10 5 8 7 12 84
FL. 4 5 4 8 8 6 12 11 10 9 7 2 86 Win by 10
MI St. 6 9 8 9 9 7 9 7 10 10 11 4 98
Alab 6 10 10 9 10 10 12 11 10 12 10 10 120 Win by 36
WvS TO PO RO SO FD TD PD RD SD TOM FPG Total
Mich
3 12 9 11 10 11
2 1 3 2 3 12
79 Win
by 6 Win
by 2
Miss St 6 8 4 11 8 5 5 3 6 2 4 8 70
Error corrected: Its Miss St (not Miss)
TCU 6 12 7 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 9 129
Wis 6 11 5 11 12 11 10 10 10 10 12 12 120 Win by 1
Conn 7 3 1 9 6 2 7 8 7 10 11 11 82
OK 7 11 12 5 11 12 8 7 6 9 11 9 106 Win by 29
V Tech 10 9 5 11 11 8 9 9 7 11 12 11 113
Stan 7 11 8 11 12 12 10 9 10 11 12 11 124 Win by 18
Ark 9 12 12 6 11 10 9 11 6 8 8 1 103 Overtime win by 3
Oh St. 9 11 7 11 11 10 12 12 12 12 12 11 130
Mid TN 4 6 5 9 6 6 5 10 3 6 1* 6 67
Mia OH 9 4 9 1 2 6 10 7 11 7 10 9 85 Win by 8
(* 120th - Worst in the FBS)
TX A&M 7 11 11 8 9 11 7 3 11 10 6 1 95
LSU 5 3 2 9 8 3 12 12 9 12 9 6 90 Win by 2
KY 6 10 10 8 10 10 8 11 5 5 5 8 106 Win by 11
Pitt 6 5 6 7 6 4 11 11 11 10 7 3 87
BC 5 2 3 4 2 1 11 2 12* 11 10 8 71
Nev 7 12 7 12 12 12* 6 4 10 9 10 10 111 Win by 18
( BC ranks #1 in Rushing Defense) (*Nevada ranks #1 in First Downs)
OR 6 12 8 12 12 12 10 7 11 11 12 3 116 Win by 2
Aub 9 12 6 12 12 12 7 2 11 7 9 7 106